Is This the Beginning of a Massive Leg Up or a Trap?
Bitcoin’s price movements have always stirred debate, but the current wave of volatility has caught even seasoned traders off guard. Recently, BTC has been “grabbing bid liquidity” as prices test lower levels, while surprisingly, some analysts and on-chain signals are now pointing toward $113,000 as a medium-term target.
How is that possible, especially after a price dip? What does “grabbing bid liquidity” mean? And what should retail investors and crypto traders be watching out for next?
Let’s break it down in this detailed blog post and explore what the market is truly signaling for Bitcoin.
🔍 Understanding “Grabbing Bid Liquidity”
Before diving into price targets, let’s clear up what’s happening in market mechanics.
Grabbing bid liquidity refers to large market players or algorithms intentionally pushing the price downward (temporarily) to trigger stop-loss orders and fill buy orders placed at lower levels. These are typically:
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Whales are looking to accumulate at better prices.
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Institutions running trading bots with volume-based targets.
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Traders are exploiting over-leveraged long positions.
This action creates short-term price dips, but paradoxically, it can be bullish in the medium term.
Why? Because this flush of liquidity clears out weak hands, resets the market structure, and prepares the market for a stronger upward move.
📉 The Recent Dip: Manipulation or Market Health?
Bitcoin recently retraced from levels above $ 63,000 to sub-$60,000, triggering panic among some retail investors. But to professional traders, this looked like a classic liquidity sweep.
Several factors point to this:
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Exchange Order Books: Bid walls at lower price zones (e.g., $58K–$60K) were filled.
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On-chain Metrics: Dormant whales and long-term holders showed no major selling.
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Funding Rates: Leveraged long positions were flushed, resetting the derivatives market.
This behavior is not random. It’s often followed by a strong upward reversal once smart money has finished accumulating.
📊 Why $113K as a Price Target?
The mention of $113,000 as a BTC target may seem overly bullish at first glance. But this number isn’t just speculative—it’s being echoed by several respected analysts and models.
1. Technical Analysis Patterns
Bitcoin is still in a macro bullish structure with:
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Higher highs and higher lows.
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A confirmed breakout from the 2022 bear market consolidation zone.
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Fibonacci extension levels from prior bull runs also suggest $113K as the next major resistance.
2. Stock-to-Flow and Halving Models
Post-halving price models—particularly PlanB’s Stock-to-Flow model—suggest Bitcoin could reach $100K to $120K in the 12 to 18 months following the 2024 halving.
The historical trend:
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2012 Halving: $13 → $1,150
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2016 Halving: $650 → $19,000
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2020 Halving: $9,000 → $69,000
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2024 Halving: Potential $60K → $100K+?
$113K fits this projected curve well.
3. On-Chain Data: Whale Activity & Supply Shock
Glass node, Crypto Quant, and other analytics platforms show:
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Exchange balances of BTC are at multi-year lows, meaning fewer coins are available for sale.
All of these points point toward a potential supply squeeze, fueling a price surge.
🌍 Macroeconomic Support for BTC Price Growth
Apart from crypto-native signals, global financial trends are supporting Bitcoin as well.
🔹 Inflation Hedge Narrative
With continued fiat debasement, especially in the U.S. and EU, investors are looking at Bitcoin as a digital gold alternative.
🔹 Institutional Adoption
BlackRock, Fidelity, and other financial giants are increasing BTC exposure via ETFs, custody, and direct buys. The spot Bitcoin ETF inflows in 2024 have been massive.
🔹 Weakening Dollar Index (DXY)
Whenever the DXY drops, risk-on assets like BTC benefit. With talks of rate cuts by the Fed, Bitcoin stands to gain further.
📈 Short-Term vs Long-Term Outlook
While the $113K target looks appealing, it’s important to separate short-term volatility from long-term trends.
🕐 Short-Term (1–3 weeks)
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Expect more price wicks and “fadeouts.”
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BTC may still test zones around $58K–$60K again to confirm a support base.
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A daily close above $66K could spark the next bullish leg.
📅 Mid to Long-Term (3–12 months)
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If accumulation continues and macro conditions remain favorable, BTC may reach:
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$80K by Q4 2025
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$100K–$113K by early 2026, assuming no black swan events.
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⚠️ Risks to Watch For
No forecast is without risk. Traders and investors should stay alert to:
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Regulatory FUD — especially in the U.S. around crypto taxes or stablecoins.
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ETF underperformance — If ETF inflows slow down, market sentiment could shift.
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Geo-political instability — Any major war escalation or global recession may spook investors.
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Whale sell-offs — A large unexpected sell from a big holder can disrupt momentum.
💡 How Should You Prepare?
Whether you’re a long-term HODLer or a short-term trader, here are some smart steps to take:
✅ For Investors:
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Utilize Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) to accumulate BTC without trying to time the market.
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Store your Bitcoin in cold wallets to protect it from exchange risks.
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Keep an eye on macro trends and ETF flows.
✅ For Traders:
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Watch order books and liquidation maps to identify key zones.
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Avoid overleveraging — the market punishes greed.
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Set tight stop-losses and take-profit levels to navigate volatility.
🔚 Final Thoughts
Bitcoin grabbing bid liquidity isn’t a bearish signal—it’s often the opposite. It means strong hands are stepping in, and the market is preparing for a potential large upward move. With $113K emerging as a realistic mid-term target based on both technical and fundamental indicators, the current dip might be the last major entry point before the next bull wave.
As always, stay informed, manage your risks, and remember: in crypto, volatility is not a bug — it’s a feature.
💬 Do you think BTC will hit $113K? Comments below!
